Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +3 (122-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylon Tyson * | 40 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 37 | 9-15 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Dennis Schröder * | 37 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Sam Merrill * | 36 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 31 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 26 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 32 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 15 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Duren * | 41 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 11-15 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 37 | - |
| Cade Cunningham * | 36 | 11-21 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 36 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 35 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 34 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 19 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 15 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Paul Reed | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Marcus Sasser | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Javonte Green | 6 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter