Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | β |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | β (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | β |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +3 (113-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 39 | 12-21 | 6-11 | 11-12 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 41 | 35 | - |
| Austin Reaves * | 36 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| LeBron James * | 34 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 27 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 21 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Gillespie * | 31 | 7-13 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Royce O'Neale * | 28 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Ryan Dunn * | 26 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Green * | 23 | 4-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -5 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro | 34 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Grayson Allen | 31 | 9-24 | 6-16 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 12 | - |
| Rasheer Fleming | 20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Amir Coffey | 17 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
* = starter