Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.0 | ✗ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -9 (121-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford * | 39 | 6-19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 33 | 13-19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 30 | - |
| Devin Carter * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Maxime Raynaud * | 31 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 25 | 7-7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Malik Monk | 19 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Killian Hayes | 18 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Drew Eubanks | 9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Patrick Baldwin Jr. | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naji Marshall * | 42 | 14-23 | 1-4 | 7-11 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 26 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Max Christie * | 26 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Caleb Martin * | 20 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 27 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 15 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 14 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter