Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 81.4% | 18.6% | -8.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +2 (118-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylon Tyson * | 35 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Dennis Schröder * | 34 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 7-9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Sam Merrill * | 33 | 6-13 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 32 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 28 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 21 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 15 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 37 | 10-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 20 | - |
| AJ Green * | 37 | 5-10 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Rollins * | 34 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 26 | 6-14 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 24 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Jericho Sims | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 21 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Cam Thomas | 16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 13 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
* = starter