🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 77.2% 22.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 54.0% 46.0% - ✓
Margin 66.1% 33.9% -3.7 ✓ (17.3 off)
Pythagorean 56.4% 43.6% - ✓
Efficiency 64.3% 35.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 62.3% 37.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 62.3% 37.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 54.0% 46.0% - ✓

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -21 (112-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandin Podziemski * 30 6-14 3-8 4-4 8 6 0 0 3 19 16 -
Will Richard * 29 9-15 2-6 1-1 5 6 3 0 1 21 19 -
Moses Moody * 27 4-7 3-5 3-3 2 3 1 0 1 14 12 -
Al Horford * 26 4-10 2-6 0-0 7 3 0 1 0 10 11 -
Gui Santos * 25 6-7 1-2 4-4 3 4 1 1 1 17 18 -
Pat Spencer 32 5-13 2-5 0-0 2 9 1 1 2 12 10 -
Gary Payton II 28 8-12 3-7 0-0 5 4 3 0 3 19 16 -
Quinten Post 21 4-9 2-6 2-3 8 0 1 2 2 12 12 -
Malevy Leons 17 3-5 1-1 2-4 8 2 2 1 1 9 16 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Javon Small * 27 6-8 3-5 1-1 6 4 0 0 0 16 18 -
Jaylen Wells * 26 3-8 2-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 8 4 -
GG Jackson * 25 8-12 3-6 5-6 8 2 1 2 5 24 20 -
Ty Jerome * 24 8-14 4-8 2-2 3 5 1 1 2 22 16 -
Olivier-Maxence Prosper * 20 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 3 3 -
Taylor Hendricks 27 6-11 0-2 2-3 6 4 2 1 2 14 14 -
Rayan Rupert 23 3-7 1-4 1-2 3 1 1 1 0 8 7 -
Walter Clayton Jr. 22 1-8 1-4 1-2 0 3 0 0 1 4 -2 -
Cam Spencer 21 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 5 2 -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 20 3-7 1-3 1-2 3 4 1 0 2 8 7 -

* = starter