Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.1% | 31.9% | -4.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -3 (107-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 31 | 8-13 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 30 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 2-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 29 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 28 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 27 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 29 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Harrison Barnes | 20 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 37 | 9-22 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 36 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 32 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Scottie Barnes * | 31 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl | 28 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 18 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter