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2026-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 73.6% 26.4% -
Bradley-Terry 50.5% 49.5% -
Margin 66.2% 33.8% -3.7 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 54.8% 45.2% -
Efficiency 63.4% 36.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.8% 40.2% -
Log Adjusted 59.9% 40.1% -
Points Off/Def 52.6% 47.4% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -16 (81-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 34 9-18 4-11 0-1 8 8 1 3 1 22 23 -
Baylor Scheierman * 31 5-10 1-6 0-0 11 2 1 0 2 11 13 -
Ron Harper Jr. * 30 3-10 2-7 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 8 6 -
Sam Hauser * 28 6-14 4-10 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 16 9 -
Neemias Queta * 26 5-10 0-0 4-4 13 3 0 2 0 14 22 -
Payton Pritchard 34 2-13 0-5 4-4 6 4 1 0 3 8 3 -
Nikola Vučević 19 4-11 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 8 3 -
Hugo González 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
Jordan Walsh 9 2-3 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
John Tonje 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Dalano Banton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Luka Garza 3 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Gillespie * 27 6-11 3-6 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 15 10 -
Ryan Dunn * 25 4-6 2-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 10 12 -
Jalen Green * 25 5-18 1-8 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 13 -1 -
Royce O'Neale * 21 3-6 3-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 9 6 -
Mark Williams * 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 2 2 5 -
Grayson Allen 24 2-12 1-9 9-10 3 1 0 0 2 14 4 -
Oso Ighodaro 23 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 5 2 0 1 4 8 -
Amir Coffey 22 3-6 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 6 3 -
Rasheer Fleming 20 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jamaree Bouyea 18 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
Khaman Maluach 5 2-3 1-1 0-1 2 0 0 1 0 5 5 -
Koby Brea 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter