Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | β |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | -2.1 | β (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | β |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +4 (113-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gui Santos * | 39 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 34 | 7-13 | 4-10 | 6-8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 28 | 8-21 | 3-10 | 9-11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 12 | - |
| Pat Spencer * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 31 | 7-18 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Quinten Post | 22 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Will Richard | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 11 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson * | 33 | 11-21 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 30 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 30 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Dejounte Murray * | 24 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 22 | 4-11 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears | 21 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 18 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Bryce McGowens | 18 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Derik Queen | 17 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
* = starter