Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | +0.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -11 (103-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 36 | 10-14 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 36 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 35 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 30 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 4-17 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 30 | 7-16 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 22 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 17 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Harrison Barnes | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 34 | 5-26 | 2-9 | 4-5 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 29 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 26 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 5-15 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 26 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 21 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Paul Reed | 19 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Javonte Green | 13 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter