Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.2% | 34.8% | -3.4 | ✓ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -22 (89-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 36 | 10-28 | 3-9 | 9-12 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 17 | - |
| Derrick White * | 35 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Sam Hauser * | 28 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Payton Pritchard | 37 | 10-14 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 24 | - |
| Nikola Vučević | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Hugo González | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Walsh | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ron Harper Jr. | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Luka Garza | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Amari Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 34 | 9-21 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Austin Reaves * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Luka Dončić * | 32 | 9-22 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 22 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Rui Hachimura | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 21 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kobe Bufkin | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter