Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.3% | 47.7% | -0.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -4 (130-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 36 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Max Christie * | 30 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 29 | 11-15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 25 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 21 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 18 | 3-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarace Walker * | 34 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Kam Jones * | 30 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 29 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 29 | 12-19 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Jay Huff * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 27 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Quenton Jackson | 22 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Micah Potter | 21 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kobe Brown | 18 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
* = starter