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2026-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 17.3% 82.7% -
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% -
Margin 29.2% 70.8% +4.9 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 47.0% 53.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.3% 52.7% -
Log Adjusted 47.2% 52.8% -
Points Off/Def 44.2% 55.8% -

Actual: New York Knicks +2 (108-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amen Thompson * 41 5-9 0-2 2-4 10 7 3 1 3 12 21 -
Kevin Durant * 38 10-26 4-10 6-7 6 3 0 0 4 30 9 -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 35 8-13 4-8 1-2 4 1 1 1 1 21 14 -
Tari Eason * 34 4-8 1-4 2-2 12 4 0 0 2 11 17 -
Alperen Sengun * 31 6-12 1-1 3-4 6 6 0 3 6 16 13 -
Dorian Finney-Smith 21 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Reed Sheppard 21 3-5 2-4 2-2 2 3 0 0 1 10 9 -
Clint Capela 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 1 0 4 5 -
Jae'Sean Tate 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
OG Anunoby * 40 8-16 2-7 2-2 2 1 4 0 1 20 10 -
Jalen Brunson * 35 6-12 0-1 8-9 3 6 0 0 3 20 14 -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 34 10-15 3-3 2-2 7 1 1 0 2 25 17 -
Mikal Bridges * 31 5-11 1-2 0-0 6 5 0 0 0 11 11 -
Josh Hart * 27 1-7 0-3 0-0 6 6 1 0 4 2 4 -
Landry Shamet 25 5-7 2-4 2-3 0 2 0 0 0 14 9 -
Jose Alvarado 19 3-9 2-5 0-0 1 4 5 0 0 8 9 -
Mitchell Robinson 17 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
Mohamed Diawara 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jeremy Sochan 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter