Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +17 (139-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 35 | 7-16 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Maxime Raynaud * | 26 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 21 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 21 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Nique Clifford | 29 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Malik Monk | 27 | 8-16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Drew Eubanks | 14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Devin Carter | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Doug McDermott | 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 29 | 11-20 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 33 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 27 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 24 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 23 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 23 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 20 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Harrison Barnes | 20 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stanley Umude | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Harrison Ingram | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter