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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 23.5% 76.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 29.3% 70.7% - ✓
Margin 38.3% 61.7% +2.6 ✓ (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% - ✓
Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 44.6% 55.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 41.3% 58.7% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +3 (125-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Jones Jr. * 38 6-10 1-3 0-1 8 2 1 2 1 13 15 -
Kris Dunn * 34 4-4 0-0 0-0 5 8 0 0 2 8 15 -
Brook Lopez * 34 7-12 1-3 1-1 10 1 2 3 0 16 20 -
Kawhi Leonard * 30 11-19 4-6 5-5 4 5 0 0 5 31 16 -
John Collins * 16 5-8 1-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 2 12 4 -
Bennedict Mathurin 31 7-16 1-4 11-14 7 2 0 0 3 26 16 -
Jordan Miller 24 3-8 0-1 4-4 1 4 1 0 1 10 7 -
Nicolas Batum 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 0 4 -
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser 13 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 6 6 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Dončić * 37 11-25 8-14 8-11 6 11 3 1 2 38 32 -
LeBron James * 33 5-13 1-3 2-2 3 11 1 0 3 13 12 -
Austin Reaves * 32 9-15 4-5 7-7 6 2 2 0 3 29 21 -
Marcus Smart * 29 3-4 1-2 0-2 2 0 1 1 1 7 6 -
Deandre Ayton * 27 5-10 0-0 3-3 7 1 0 1 1 13 11 -
Rui Hachimura 25 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 3 4 -
Luke Kennard 17 4-6 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 9 4 -
Jake LaRavia 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
Jaxson Hayes 11 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 8 7 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter