Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | +3.7 | β (24.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | β |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -21 (118-139). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rollins * | 34 | 10-15 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 32 | 10-15 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| AJ Green * | 29 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 25 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Jericho Sims * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 27 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 22 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Pete Nance | 21 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Cam Thomas | 20 | 11-17 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey * | 36 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Bryce McGowens * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 30 | 13-17 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 19 | - |
| Derik Queen * | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears | 28 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Poole | 25 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 24 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter