Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +11 (122-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 36 | 5-17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 33 | 5-16 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 30 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Tyus Jones * | 26 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 27 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 24 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 18 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 37 | 16-30 | 5-13 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 15 | - |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 34 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 32 | 9-11 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 31 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 30 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 28 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Naz Reid | 30 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 27 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Bones Hyland | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Joan Beringer | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter