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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 70.2% 29.8% -
Bradley-Terry 43.8% 56.2% -
Margin 60.0% 40.0% -2.2 (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.6% 44.4% -
Efficiency 55.1% 44.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.9% 46.1% -
Log Adjusted 54.0% 46.0% -
Points Off/Def 48.3% 51.7% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +13 (131-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kam Jones * 38 2-9 0-3 0-2 5 11 2 0 6 4 7 -
Jarace Walker * 30 3-11 3-9 3-4 12 6 1 0 5 12 15 -
Ben Sheppard * 19 3-5 0-2 2-4 5 3 1 0 0 8 12 -
Jay Huff * 15 8-11 5-8 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 22 14 -
T.J. McConnell * 14 4-8 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 9 4 -
Taelon Peter 37 5-11 2-8 0-0 2 3 4 0 2 12 8 -
Kobe Brown 33 4-9 2-4 2-3 5 0 2 0 0 12 10 -
Micah Potter 26 6-13 4-9 2-2 5 2 1 0 2 18 11 -
Quenton Jackson 23 8-13 1-4 4-4 3 3 0 0 4 21 10 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bilal Coulibaly * 21 6-12 1-3 0-0 3 3 1 2 3 13 7 -
Bub Carrington * 21 3-8 0-4 0-0 5 7 1 0 2 6 9 -
Tristan Vukcevic * 20 7-12 0-5 0-0 8 1 1 1 1 14 12 -
Tre Johnson * 18 6-11 1-3 1-1 1 1 1 1 0 14 7 -
Justin Champagnie * 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 0 5 -
Kadary Richmond 31 3-7 1-2 0-0 3 4 6 0 2 7 11 -
Alondes Williams 29 9-11 2-4 5-5 10 4 1 2 1 25 30 -
Sharife Cooper 27 8-11 0-2 2-3 3 5 0 0 4 18 11 -
Anthony Gill 23 5-6 0-0 1-2 3 6 0 3 1 11 16 -
Jamir Watkins 23 5-11 1-5 0-0 4 2 2 0 0 11 8 -
Will Riley 12 3-5 0-1 6-8 1 2 1 0 1 12 10 -

* = starter