Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.3% | 26.7% | -5.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -11 (110-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White * | 39 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jaylen Brown * | 37 | 10-18 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 15 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 31 | - |
| Sam Hauser * | 27 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman * | 24 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Payton Pritchard | 32 | 10-18 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Nikola Vučević | 27 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Hugo González | 12 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Ron Harper Jr. | 11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Walsh | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Luka Garza | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gui Santos * | 30 | 6-14 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Pat Spencer * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 25 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 22 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 18 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Al Horford | 27 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 27 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Will Richard | 24 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 19 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Kristaps Porziņģis | 17 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
* = starter