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2026-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 8.8% 91.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 21.3% 78.7% - ✓
Margin 16.3% 83.7% +9.0 ✓ (18.0 off)
Pythagorean 38.4% 61.6% - ✓
Efficiency 36.0% 64.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 38.9% 61.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 37.4% 62.6% - ✓

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +27 (121-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Gillespie * 29 3-13 2-8 0-0 2 8 1 0 1 8 5 -
Royce O'Neale * 26 3-8 2-5 0-0 7 1 0 1 0 8 9 -
Jalen Green * 26 11-23 4-9 0-0 3 2 3 0 3 26 8 -
Mark Williams * 22 4-12 0-0 3-4 10 0 0 1 0 11 10 -
Devin Booker * 8 2-6 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -
Jordan Goodwin 27 4-12 2-7 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 10 3 -
Ryan Dunn 21 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 2 0 2 5 -
Jamaree Bouyea 18 3-7 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 1 2 7 6 -
Oso Ighodaro 17 5-8 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 1 10 9 -
Rasheer Fleming 12 1-4 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Amir Coffey 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Isaiah Livers 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Khaman Maluach 7 2-6 0-2 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 4 2 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Victor Wembanyama * 24 7-15 1-4 2-2 11 4 1 5 1 17 22 -
Julian Champagnie * 22 2-3 1-2 3-3 6 1 0 0 0 8 12 -
Devin Vassell * 22 5-9 2-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 12 6 -
Stephon Castle * 21 8-11 2-4 2-2 2 4 3 0 2 20 16 -
De'Aaron Fox * 21 4-9 2-5 5-6 3 8 0 0 1 15 16 -
Dylan Harper 25 7-11 2-5 1-2 1 1 1 0 3 17 6 -
Harrison Barnes 20 3-8 1-4 1-1 4 4 0 0 0 8 8 -
Keldon Johnson 20 2-6 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
Luke Kornet 16 5-5 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 1 0 10 17 -
Carter Bryant 15 2-6 2-4 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
Kelly Olynyk 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
Bismack Biyombo 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
Jordan McLaughlin 9 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -3 -

* = starter