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2026-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 76.5% 23.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 67.0% 33.0% - ✓
Margin 73.5% 26.5% -5.6 ✓ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 59.1% 40.9% - ✓
Efficiency 64.0% 36.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 60.2% 39.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 60.3% 39.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 52.8% 47.2% - ✓

Actual: Chicago Bulls -9 (101-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 35 11-26 3-5 6-7 8 6 2 0 2 31 19 -
Immanuel Quickley * 33 5-12 0-4 4-5 2 3 2 0 1 14 8 -
Scottie Barnes * 33 5-14 0-1 4-4 9 5 2 1 6 14 11 -
Collin Murray-Boyles * 28 4-5 0-0 3-3 6 1 1 1 0 11 15 -
RJ Barrett * 24 3-10 1-3 6-8 6 3 1 0 0 13 13 -
Ja'Kobe Walter 22 4-9 2-5 4-4 4 0 3 0 1 14 11 -
Jamal Shead 20 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 4 7 -
Jakob Poeltl 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 15 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 7 6 -
Gradey Dick 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 0 2 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anfernee Simons * 31 7-18 4-11 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 20 2 -
Matas Buzelis * 31 2-10 0-7 0-0 6 1 0 0 4 4 -3 -
Isaac Okoro * 29 6-12 3-5 1-1 5 1 0 0 1 16 9 -
Jalen Smith * 24 2-6 1-3 4-4 10 2 3 1 2 9 17 -
Josh Giddey * 21 1-7 0-2 3-4 4 5 2 1 4 5 6 -
Patrick Williams 26 3-8 0-4 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
Tre Jones 21 5-8 1-1 1-2 1 6 0 1 0 12 12 -
Guerschon Yabusele 16 2-5 1-3 3-4 5 1 0 0 0 8 9 -
Collin Sexton 14 4-7 2-4 1-2 1 2 1 1 3 11 6 -
Nick Richards 12 2-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 6 9 -
Rob Dillingham 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 4 1 -

* = starter