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2026-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 25.9% 74.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 52.6% 47.4% - ✓
Margin 41.1% 58.9% +2.0 ✗ (17.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% - ✗
Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 53.2% 46.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 53.2% 46.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 47.5% 52.5% - ✗

Actual: New York Knicks -15 (111-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 38 17-34 5-11 3-3 8 13 1 2 5 42 27 -
Tobias Harris * 31 4-16 1-5 2-4 10 5 1 1 2 11 10 -
Ausar Thompson * 30 4-8 0-0 2-2 5 4 3 0 1 10 13 -
Paul Reed * 29 7-9 0-1 4-4 7 2 1 3 0 18 22 -
Duncan Robinson * 20 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
Caris LeVert 20 3-6 2-3 0-0 2 3 1 2 1 8 9 -
Javonte Green 20 2-4 1-3 4-5 5 0 2 0 2 9 10 -
Daniss Jenkins 18 3-4 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 8 5 -
Tolu Smith 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Ronald Holland II 12 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 7 7 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Brunson * 37 12-20 3-7 6-6 6 8 2 0 6 33 23 -
OG Anunoby * 31 3-13 1-8 1-2 0 0 0 4 0 8 -1 -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 30 7-14 1-4 6-6 11 4 1 0 2 21 21 -
Josh Hart * 27 5-8 0-0 1-2 4 3 0 0 1 11 9 -
Mikal Bridges * 25 4-9 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 8 2 -
Landry Shamet 28 4-10 3-8 4-6 2 2 0 1 0 15 10 -
Jose Alvarado 20 3-8 0-5 0-0 4 5 1 0 2 6 6 -
Mitchell Robinson 19 2-4 0-0 3-6 6 0 2 1 0 7 12 -
Jeremy Sochan 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 2 4 -
Mohamed Diawara 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 -

* = starter