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2026-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 70.2% 29.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 43.8% 56.2% - ✓
Margin 60.0% 40.0% -2.2 ✗ (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.6% 44.4% - ✗
Efficiency 55.1% 44.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 53.9% 46.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 54.0% 46.0% - ✗
Points Off/Def 48.3% 51.7% - ✓

Actual: Washington Wizards +7 (112-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarace Walker * 29 5-15 1-7 8-10 13 7 2 0 5 19 21 -
Ben Sheppard * 26 6-8 3-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 15 14 -
Andrew Nembhard * 21 2-7 1-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 6 5 -3 -
Jay Huff * 20 3-8 1-5 8-8 8 1 0 3 2 15 17 -
Aaron Nesmith * 14 0-3 0-2 3-3 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
Kobe Brown 33 5-11 2-4 0-0 9 1 0 1 2 12 10 -
Micah Potter 27 5-10 2-4 2-2 6 1 0 0 2 14 9 -
Ethan Thompson 26 1-7 0-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 2 -1 -
Taelon Peter 25 5-12 5-11 1-4 5 2 0 0 3 16 8 -
Kam Jones 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 4 4 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bub Carrington * 27 5-14 3-9 0-2 4 3 2 0 2 13 6 -
Bilal Coulibaly * 23 4-9 1-3 3-4 4 5 3 0 1 12 14 -
Tre Johnson * 19 4-12 0-4 2-2 6 2 0 0 0 10 6 -
Kyshawn George * 18 3-10 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 6 1 -
Tristan Vukcevic * 17 4-7 2-3 2-2 5 1 5 1 0 12 17 -
Anthony Gill 30 6-9 1-1 0-0 8 3 0 1 1 13 15 -
Kadary Richmond 29 5-7 0-1 3-3 5 3 1 0 0 13 15 -
Alondes Williams 27 2-5 1-4 1-2 5 5 0 1 1 6 11 -
Sharife Cooper 24 3-10 0-3 2-2 5 7 2 0 3 8 9 -
Jaden Hardy 18 5-13 3-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 13 1 -
Will Riley 3 2-2 0-0 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -

* = starter