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2026-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 23.4% 76.6% +4.8 โœ— (14.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 43.7% 56.3% - โœ—
Margin 51.1% 48.9% -0.3 โœ“ (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 55.1% 44.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 53.8% 46.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.6% 52.4% - โœ—

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -10 (107-117). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Johnson * 37 9-22 0-5 14-16 10 5 3 1 4 32 25 -
Dyson Daniels * 36 7-12 0-2 1-3 7 2 1 0 2 15 11 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 33 4-11 2-7 4-5 3 4 3 0 4 14 9 -
Zaccharie Risacher * 27 4-8 2-4 0-0 7 2 1 1 0 10 13 -
Onyeka Okongwu * 26 4-9 0-3 0-0 9 2 0 0 2 8 8 -
CJ McCollum 30 6-13 3-5 8-10 1 5 2 1 1 23 18 -
Jock Landale 21 3-6 2-3 2-2 7 2 0 1 0 10 14 -
Corey Kispert 16 1-5 1-3 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
Mouhamed Gueye 10 0-2 0-0 0-2 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 38 8-23 4-11 8-8 3 3 1 1 2 28 11 -
VJ Edgecombe * 33 7-15 3-8 3-3 9 0 1 1 6 20 10 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 32 4-13 0-3 9-11 3 3 3 1 2 17 12 -
Andre Drummond * 27 4-6 1-1 1-1 14 3 0 2 0 10 23 -
Dominick Barlow * 22 0-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 3 1 1 4 -
Quentin Grimes 28 5-9 2-4 2-4 2 1 0 1 2 14 7 -
Adem Bona 19 3-5 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 4 1 9 14 -
Trendon Watford 16 1-6 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
Jabari Walker 10 1-3 1-2 1-2 3 2 1 0 0 4 7 -
Cameron Payne 9 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 5 2 0 0 0 4 -

* = starter