Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +20 (124-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Max Christie * | 30 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Williams * | 29 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 29 | 8-13 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 23 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Khris Middleton | 20 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 20 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 35 | 10-20 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 10 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 27 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 34 | 9-13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 33 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 25 | 4-14 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jake LaRavia * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Austin Reaves | 28 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 17 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kobe Bufkin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bronny James | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Drew Timme | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Adou Thiero | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter