Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.9% | 21.1% | -7.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -13 (113-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 33 | 8-17 | 2-9 | 8-10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 24 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 32 | 11-16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 21 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 29 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 29 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Harrison Barnes | 21 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 9 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moses Moody * | 35 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Pat Spencer * | 30 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 29 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Gui Santos * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 25 | 6-7 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 35 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Al Horford | 26 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 14 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Quinten Post | 13 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
* = starter