🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 62.7% 37.3% -
Bradley-Terry 61.1% 38.9% -
Margin 62.7% 37.3% -2.9 (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% -
Efficiency 66.6% 33.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.1% 34.9% -
Log Adjusted 65.2% 34.8% -
Points Off/Def 55.3% 44.7% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -18 (95-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul Reed * 32 10-17 1-2 1-2 5 3 3 4 2 22 18 -
Tobias Harris * 31 4-9 1-4 3-4 12 0 0 1 0 12 16 -
Cade Cunningham * 30 9-14 6-11 4-6 7 9 3 1 3 28 31 -
Duncan Robinson * 24 4-8 2-5 3-4 4 1 1 1 1 13 11 -
Ausar Thompson * 24 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 1 2 4 9 -
Kevin Huerter 20 4-9 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 9 2 -
Caris LeVert 17 3-8 3-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 9 4 -
Daniss Jenkins 16 3-9 0-1 2-3 3 1 0 0 2 8 1 -
Javonte Green 16 0-4 0-2 3-3 4 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
Tolu Smith 15 1-3 0-0 1-3 3 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
Bobi Klintman 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Marcus Sasser 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Chaz Lanier 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 32 5-7 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 1 2 13 5 -
Immanuel Quickley * 31 7-15 4-9 0-0 2 5 0 0 0 18 10 -
RJ Barrett * 30 4-6 1-2 7-8 3 4 1 1 2 16 17 -
Scottie Barnes * 29 5-13 0-3 7-7 7 5 3 3 0 17 22 -
Jakob Poeltl * 20 4-7 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 9 7 -
Jamal Shead 23 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 0 -3 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 19 2-8 1-6 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 7 5 -
Ja'Kobe Walter 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 3 1 1 2 3 6 -
Gradey Dick 16 3-8 2-4 2-2 2 0 0 1 3 10 2 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 3 -
Alijah Martin 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Jamison Battle 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter