Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.9% | 28.1% | -5.2 | ✓ (22.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -28 (108-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 26 | 13-20 | 4-6 | 10-12 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 40 | 33 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 24 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 18 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 27 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 26 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 21 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Harrison Barnes | 20 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kennard * | 27 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 26 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Kobe Bufkin * | 24 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Jake LaRavia * | 18 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 16 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Bronny James | 25 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Drew Timme | 20 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 17 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 16 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Adou Thiero | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Chris Mañon | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter