Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.3% | 82.7% | +8.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +9 (120-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 35 | 8-20 | 0-1 | 11-14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Max Christie * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 26 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tyus Jones * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 36 | 12-17 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 19 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Khris Middleton | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 17 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 32 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 31 | 11-26 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 0 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 24 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Royce O'Neale * | 22 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin | 24 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Jalen Green | 20 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Dunn | 16 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Amir Coffey | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter