Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✓ (18.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +22 (138-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 35 | 9-19 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 32 | 12-25 | 5-9 | 9-11 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 17 | - |
| Asa Newell * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 20 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 31 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Gabe Vincent | 19 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 19 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jock Landale | 18 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle * | 38 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Anthony Edwards * | 38 | 11-21 | 4-11 | 4-5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 20 | - |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 33 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 32 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 25 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 29 | 9-13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Naz Reid | 21 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Bones Hyland | 14 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jaylen Clark | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter