Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.9% | 90.1% | +12.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +18 (122-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Huff * | 30 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 25 | 4-18 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -5 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 24 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Johnny Furphy * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 27 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 26 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Micah Potter | 25 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Kam Jones | 25 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 15 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 33 | 12-20 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 30 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 31 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 28 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 26 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 27 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 21 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alijah Martin | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A.J. Lawson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter