Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.2% | 10.8% | -11.6 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -6 (126-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 34 | 13-24 | 2-8 | 7-7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 18 | - |
| James Harden * | 32 | 7-13 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 32 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 27 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Sam Merrill * | 23 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 17 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daeqwon Plowden * | 39 | 6-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Nique Clifford * | 39 | 12-19 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 21 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 31 | 8-14 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 14 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 29 | 4-16 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Maxime Raynaud * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Devin Carter | 27 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Dylan Cardwell | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Precious Achiuwa | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Doug McDermott | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter