Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +6 (105-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moses Moody * | 39 | 8-17 | 5-14 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 33 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Pat Spencer * | 28 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Gui Santos * | 26 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 23 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 33 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Al Horford | 22 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 18 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Will Richard | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Quinten Post | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 35 | 6-17 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 28 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Jake LaRavia * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 27 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 26 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Austin Reaves | 23 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 18 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
* = starter