Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.5% | 64.5% | +3.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +6 (105-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard * | 36 | 6-17 | 3-10 | 7-7 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 32 | 7-19 | 1-8 | 4-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Johnny Furphy * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 26 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jay Huff * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 30 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Micah Potter | 16 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 14 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Kam Jones | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Green * | 36 | 5-14 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 34 | 10-20 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Ryan Rollins * | 33 | 9-19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 7 | - |
| Jericho Sims * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 26 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 26 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 19 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Pete Nance | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Gary Harris | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter