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2026-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 35.7% 64.3% -
Bradley-Terry 31.3% 68.7% -
Margin 34.0% 66.0% +3.6 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% -
Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.2% 53.8% -
Log Adjusted 46.2% 53.8% -
Points Off/Def 42.5% 57.5% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -4 (97-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gui Santos * 35 6-9 3-6 3-5 4 7 1 1 4 18 18 -
Pat Spencer * 32 6-11 6-10 2-2 6 4 2 0 4 20 17 -
Moses Moody * 30 2-7 2-7 0-0 8 1 0 1 1 6 8 -
De'Anthony Melton * 24 6-14 2-9 3-4 2 1 3 0 2 17 7 -
Draymond Green * 24 1-3 1-3 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 5 7 -
Will Richard 27 2-6 1-4 2-2 3 2 1 0 0 7 7 -
Al Horford 27 4-10 2-5 3-5 4 4 0 1 2 13 10 -
Gary Payton II 18 6-11 3-6 0-0 8 1 1 1 0 15 15 -
Brandin Podziemski 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Quinten Post 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 35 10-24 2-6 2-3 6 1 1 0 2 24 6 -
Collin Gillespie * 33 4-12 3-10 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 11 6 -
Grayson Allen * 32 7-17 5-13 2-2 5 4 1 0 3 21 11 -
Royce O'Neale * 27 3-7 3-6 0-0 1 5 0 0 1 9 7 -
Mark Williams * 22 5-6 0-0 1-1 10 0 0 1 1 11 15 -
Jordan Goodwin 29 2-6 2-6 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 6 6 -
Oso Ighodaro 24 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 2 6 8 -
Jamaree Bouyea 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 4 9 -
Ryan Dunn 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 5 5 -
Isaiah Livers 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter