Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 50.4% | 49.6% | -0.1 | β (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | β |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +4 (141-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 39 | 15-28 | 12-19 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 44 | 27 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 37 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 35 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 35 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Derik Queen * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Yves Missi | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears | 19 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jose Alvarado | 16 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 15 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 11 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rollins * | 39 | 10-19 | 3-10 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 12 | - |
| AJ Green * | 35 | 7-13 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 30 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 28 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Amir Coffey * | 25 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 29 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Jericho Sims | 27 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 23 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Pete Nance | 18 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter