Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✓ (20.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -21 (93-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neemias Queta * | 38 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 32 | - |
| Derrick White * | 37 | 10-25 | 6-14 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 10 | - |
| Ron Harper Jr. * | 33 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Luka Garza * | 33 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman * | 23 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Payton Pritchard | 33 | 9-20 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Hugo González | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Walsh | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Josh Minott | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Max Shulga | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4-8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 27 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 18 | 3-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Clint Capela | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 10 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| JD Davison | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Green | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah Crawford | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter