Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | +1.2 | ✗ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -2 (126-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDaniels * | 39 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Edwards * | 37 | 11-23 | 1-8 | 7-10 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 22 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 35 | 7-18 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 32 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 31 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Naz Reid | 28 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Bones Hyland | 26 | 8-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Jaylen Clark | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Johnny Juzang | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Joe Ingles | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 36 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 28 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 35 | 10-22 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 33 | 8-12 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 23 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 28 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles * | 25 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 31 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 22 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
* = starter