Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.1% | 12.9% | -10.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -10 (100-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White * | 38 | 4-13 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jaylen Brown * | 37 | 15-29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 16 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Sam Hauser * | 26 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Payton Pritchard | 34 | 12-20 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Luka Garza | 20 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Hugo González | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Walsh | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 36 | 12-24 | 2-4 | 10-11 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 28 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 31 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Max Christie * | 30 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Caleb Martin * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Miles Kelly | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter