Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.7% | 13.3% | -10.3 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -4 (114-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 39 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 35 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 35 | 13-25 | 0-2 | 13-18 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39 | 30 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Reed Sheppard * | 25 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Clint Capela | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 33 | 12-21 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 32 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Johnny Furphy * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jay Huff * | 11 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 34 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 22 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 15 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Micah Potter | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter