Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.5% | 84.5% | +9.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +9 (112-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 37 | 10-17 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Paolo Banchero * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 32 | 2-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Black * | 29 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Tristan da Silva | 27 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jonathan Isaac | 14 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Noah Penda | 13 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Goga Bitadze | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Moritz Wagner | 7 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jase Richardson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jett Howard | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Champagnie * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 29 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 27 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 27 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 11-15 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 29 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 27 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 25 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 15 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Harrison Ingram | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stanley Umude | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter