Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +4 (111-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 38 | 13-25 | 1-4 | 7-10 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 25 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Max Christie * | 31 | 4-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 27 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 16 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 8 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 40 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 38 | 6-17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 34 | 6-20 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 33 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 31 | 7-15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 21 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 17 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Clint Capela | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter