Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 79.3% | 20.7% | -7.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +5 (129-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 36 | 12-29 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 25 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 35 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| CJ McCollum | 29 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 22 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 18 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Christian Koloko | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nesmith * | 33 | 8-10 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 32 | 11-15 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 32 | 9-19 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Jarace Walker * | 26 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Johnny Furphy * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jay Huff | 31 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 31 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 17 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
* = starter