Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.4% | 47.6% | -0.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +13 (126-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 27 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson * | 25 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Sam Merrill * | 18 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 24 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Lonzo Ball | 24 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 24 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| De'Andre Hunter | 22 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Allen * | 26 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 24 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 24 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Royce O'Neale * | 23 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin | 22 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Dunn | 17 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Green | 15 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Livers | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Rasheer Fleming | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Khaman Maluach | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nigel Hayes-Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter