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2026-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 78.3% 21.7% -
Bradley-Terry 63.9% 36.1% -
Margin 67.8% 32.2% -4.1 (22.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.1% 44.9% -
Efficiency 63.7% 36.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.4% 40.6% -
Log Adjusted 59.6% 40.4% -
Points Off/Def 51.7% 48.3% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +18 (114-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 33 8-22 2-9 8-10 3 7 3 0 2 26 15 -
Duncan Robinson * 30 4-11 1-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 9 1 -
Tobias Harris * 29 5-9 3-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 13 9 -
Jalen Duren * 28 10-11 0-0 3-3 13 4 0 1 1 23 29 -
Ausar Thompson * 25 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 6 0 0 1 6 9 -
Isaiah Stewart 23 4-5 0-0 3-5 2 0 1 0 2 11 7 -
Daniss Jenkins 22 2-8 0-3 2-3 3 5 0 0 1 6 5 -
Ronald Holland II 17 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 0 -1 -
Javonte Green 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Jaden Ivey 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Bobi Klintman 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Paul Reed 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
Chaz Lanier 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grayson Allen * 34 5-14 4-12 10-10 3 5 0 1 2 24 17 -
Dillon Brooks * 32 13-22 4-7 10-12 8 4 1 1 1 40 31 -
Royce O'Neale * 28 4-8 2-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 10 5 -
Collin Gillespie * 25 5-12 5-11 1-1 5 2 1 0 3 16 9 -
Mark Williams * 24 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 6 7 -
Jordan Goodwin 22 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 3 2 0 1 2 6 -
Jamaree Bouyea 20 3-8 0-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 6 2 -
Oso Ighodaro 20 2-3 0-0 2-4 9 2 1 0 2 6 13 -
Ryan Dunn 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Isaiah Livers 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 0 0 1 8 -
Rasheer Fleming 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Khaman Maluach 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Nigel Hayes-Davis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter