Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.0% | 20.0% | -7.6 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -2 (121-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 38 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Kon Knueppel * | 36 | 10-16 | 8-12 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 26 | - |
| Moussa Diabaté * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| LaMelo Ball * | 30 | 8-17 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Miller * | 26 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Collin Sexton | 20 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Sion James | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Josh Green | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tidjane Salaün | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 38 | 20-29 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 49 | 32 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 35 | 6-19 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Max Christie * | 29 | 6-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Caleb Martin * | 27 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 27 | 6-15 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 20 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter