Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | β |
| Margin | 55.2% | 44.8% | -1.1 | β (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | β |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -18 (86-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 34 | 12-22 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 15 | - |
| Josh Okogie * | 33 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 27 | 3-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 25 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Clint Capela | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Green | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Isaiah Crawford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| JD Davison | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 34 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 31 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Corey Kispert * | 30 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ * | 26 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Christian Koloko * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| CJ McCollum | 30 | 9-19 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 20 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Asa Newell | 20 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter