Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.8% | 39.2% | -2.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -12 (99-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 32 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 28 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 28 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 12-15 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 35 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 26 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Devin Vassell | 22 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 22 | 8-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 37 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 36 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 35 | 7-20 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 35 | 11-23 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 24 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 25 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Clint Capela | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter