Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.6% | 22.4% | -6.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -13 (105-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 38 | 6-17 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 33 | 12-21 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 19 | - |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 27 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Rudy Gobert * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Naz Reid | 27 | 9-17 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Mike Conley | 22 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Joan Beringer | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Bones Hyland | 12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jaylen Clark | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 33 | 10-20 | 0-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Max Christie * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Caleb Martin * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 24 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 23 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 8-12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 9 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Miles Kelly | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter