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2026-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 93.2% 6.8% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 67.3% 32.7% - βœ“
Margin 81.4% 18.6% -8.1 βœ“ (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 62.8% 37.2% - βœ“
Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 58.5% 41.5% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 58.5% 41.5% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 51.7% 48.3% - βœ“

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -15 (97-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Moussa DiabatΓ© * 33 8-9 1-1 1-2 19 2 2 1 3 18 30 -
Brandon Miller * 29 9-17 4-8 4-4 1 3 0 0 3 26 10 -
Miles Bridges * 28 8-11 4-7 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 20 17 -
Kon Knueppel * 25 4-8 2-5 0-0 1 6 0 0 0 10 9 -
LaMelo Ball * 23 6-14 4-9 0-0 1 4 2 0 2 16 7 -
Sion James 22 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 5 2 -
Grant Williams 19 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
Collin Sexton 17 2-10 0-3 2-2 4 4 1 0 2 6 3 -
Josh Green 16 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -5 -
Ryan Kalkbrenner 14 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
Liam McNeeley 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Tre Mann 2 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 33 10-20 4-9 2-2 4 4 2 0 2 26 14 -
Cam Spencer * 28 1-8 0-6 2-2 0 6 1 0 2 4 1 -
Cedric Coward * 26 6-9 3-4 2-2 2 5 0 0 1 17 14 -
Jock Landale * 25 4-9 1-4 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 10 4 -
Jaylen Wells * 25 3-8 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 6 1 -
GG Jackson 24 5-8 1-2 1-2 4 1 1 2 2 12 10 -
John Konchar 24 3-3 2-2 0-0 6 3 2 2 1 8 17 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 21 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 4 3 0 1 0 3 -
Vince Williams Jr. 20 4-9 2-6 0-0 5 4 0 1 0 10 11 -
Olivier-Maxence Prosper 10 1-2 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -

* = starter