Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | +7.2 | ✗ (18.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -11 (106-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyson Daniels * | 35 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 32 | 6-16 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 30 | 7-15 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 28 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Corey Kispert * | 20 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| CJ McCollum | 29 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 23 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Christian Koloko | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Vít Krejčí | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White * | 30 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jaylen Brown * | 29 | 9-20 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Payton Pritchard * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Sam Hauser * | 25 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Amari Williams * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Hugo González | 26 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Luka Garza | 23 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Walsh | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Anfernee Simons | 18 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Josh Minott | 4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter